Wednesday, April 12, 2006

Prelude to a Punch?

Mets 10, Nationals 5. Sometimes the score really doesn't tell the whole story. There is so much to say about last Thursday's contest between NL East "rivals," a game I witnessed via the 2006 debut of ESPN's Thursday Night Baseball (not exactly a traditional broadcast venue, but I guess any time Ramon Ortiz pitches, it's an event). As the Mets and Nationals prepare to face off for the fifth time of this young season, here are some thoughts about what to expect, and also a few highlights from what went down last time the two clubs:

The return continues for "El Dedo," Pedro Martinez. Early in his first game against the Nats, Martinez looked uncomfortable in his motion, to say the least, and it was difficult not to notice how he was almost pushing his pitches toward the plate, rather than throwing. (Remember that outfielder on your Little League team whose throwing style made you think he never played catch outside the season? If you were the first kid to show up for a game or practice, and that kid was the second, you wanted to hide in the bushes, just to avoid somebody seeing you tossing the ball with such an incompetent thrower. In my darkest moments, I fear that the winter-long media obsession with Pedro's big toe is merely a decoy, that his shoulder is the real source of concern, only the writers and team brass are so horrified when they think of the fallout of such an injury -- Glavine-Zambrano-Trachsel-Bannister-Heilman, with Darren Oliver and Jose Lima waiting in the wings -- that the mere possibility cannot be broached. Has Pedro become that Little League nincompoop who nobody wants to associate with? The question burned in my mind for the first couple of innings, although he eventually seemed to settle into himself, with mixed results.)

His mechanical rust notwithstanding, El Dedo effectively shut down the Washington hitters in the 1st, 4th and 6th innings of his season debut, although his control issues were obvious: a four-pitch walk to Ramon Ortiz; four hit batters for the day, equalling Martinez's total for the 2005 season;

Aggressive play will rule the day. In Pedro's last start, the Mets staked themselved an early lead by pushing across two runs in the first frame. Leadoff hitter/Energizer Bunny Jose Reyes dropped a lob wedge into center field and moved to third when new Mets backstop/Brooklyn native Paul Lo Duca executed on an apparent run-and-hit play. All the early talk about Lo Duca has focused on his ability to take pitches so Reyes can steal bases, but it's PLD's ability to make solid contact that makes him an ideal No. 2 hitter on this team. Reyes is just as dangerous when the ball is in play, the type of runner who forces the other team to make mistakes. (When it comes to running the bases, I cannot remember a more exciting player than Reyes, who shows no ill effects of the hamstring/leg injuries that plagued him in his earlier days. If any major leaguer is capable of stealing 100 bases these days, it is Joselito, who undoubtedly has the support of his manager, Willie Randolph. In his first year at the helm, Willie's aggressive managing style resulted in more stolen bases (153) than any other National League team. Leading the way was Reyes, who became the youngest player to reach 60 steals since Tim Raines in 1981. If Reyes ever gets his OBP up to .360-.375, it's hard to imagine he won't swipe in the triple digits.)

David Wright is living up to the hype. Wright has been slapping and driving the ball to right field almost exlcusively in these early games, an encouraging sign that the youngster's plate coverage and bat control have not been over-hyped. His combination of discipline -- he is the Anti-Reyes, rarely swinging on the first pitch -- and power will go a long way this year. I feel that Wright could hit anywhere from 2-6 in the lineup and succeed. He has driven in runs in each of the Mets' first six games, setting a new franchise record. The ceiling on his production levels appeared high before the season began, and his torrid start has surely bolstered these lofty expectations.

The Nationals have a captain, and he wears a mustache.
In the most encouraging development of the Nats' young season, Nick Johnson has become Rod Farva. Not only is Johnson more fun to watch because of his newfound ability to pass for an adolescent walrus, but his three-run homer off Pedro put the Nationals right back in last Thursday's game. He takes pitches, makes contact, and has been with the team longer than anyone besides Jose Vidro. I don't know how the Win Shares stack up, but it seems the Nationals/Expos may have actually gotten equal value in the deal that sent Javy Vazquez to the Bombers.

Ryan Zimmerman presses onward in his Rookie of the Year campaign. He's young, he has the playing time, and he has a lot of hype. The highly-touted RZA crushed a homer against Billy Wagner in the Mets' second game of the season, which at least is an improvement over last year, when Mets fans were treated to Braden Looper's Opening Day implosion, aka "The Heartbreaker," aka "The Day Joe Randa Made the List," aka "Armando's Last Revenge," aka "The Day Pedro Regretted His Own Existence." However, it was the RZA who was made to look foolish in his first time facing Pedro. The bat never left his shoulders, and on three pitches was called out on strikes. (This isn't meant to be an indictment of Zimmerman, but can you imagine the hype that would surrounded this guy if he went back-to-back on Wagner and El Dedo? He could have locked up the Rookie of the Year award right there with a three-run homer to give the Nationals the lead. Instead, he couldn't muster up a swing against Pedro's buffet of changeups and two-seamers. Go Mets.)

Nationals catcher Brian Schneider looks to make personal history. Say what you will about Schneider's lofty reputation as a defensive backstop, but his inclusion on the U.S. team as starting catcher cannot be ignored as a major brain fart in the organization of that squad in the World Baseball Classic. Just about every other catcher in his divisionwould have been a better choice over Schneider, who -- a smile on his face -- will one day tell his grandchildren that he reached base against Pedro Martinez. (This is the most creative way I can spin Willie Randolph's decision to walk Schneider on purpose in Thursday's game. For those keeping score at home, Ramon Ortiz followed with a two-RBI single.) If Schneider can reach base in consecutive games against Pedro, he should retire from the game immediately, citing professional nirvana.

Ok, the game's about to start, so I have to go see how Jose Reyes can avoid seeing the fourth pitch of an at bat. Happy Passover!

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